06 Juli 2019

The Bursting of a Constitutional Bubble

Ursula von der Leyen and not one of the spitzenkandidaten promoted by the parties in the EP election campaign will be the EU Council’s nominee for Commission President. Throughout the week, wails of dismay could be heard in the halls of the European Parliament, of the German Social Democrat and Green headquarters, and among parts of the German and European public, lamenting the mistreatment that the Council is alleged to inflict on the EP and democracy in general. I must confess: That leaves me rather cold. I am bothered more by something else.

The whole spitzenkandidaten idea – personalising the European elections following the German example – has its constitutional basis in Art. 17 (7) para 1 TEU: While the Council nominates the candidate under consideration of the election result, this norm authorises the majority of MEPs to decide whether the candidate actually gets the nod or not. If you have the majority of MEPs behind you, the Council will have to nominate you. The majority of MEPs behind you gives you the constitutional power to impose your nomination on the Council.

Five years ago, Jean-Claude Juncker possessed this power: his EPP Group and the competing Social Democrats had agreed in advance to accept only their relative electoral success as a criterion to determine who among the spitzenkandidaten would get the job, excluding at any rate all candidates from outside. That worked because the EPP and S&D together held a majority. And thereby the constitutional power to enforce their will.

That power is gone, though: Manfred Weber doesn’t have it, neither does Frans Timmermans, and certainly none of the other spitzenkandidaten. Together, EPP and S&D hold only 336 of 751 seats in parliament. There is no majority of MEPs that stands united behind a victorious spitzenkandidat for Commission President.

This makes the entire constitutional basis for spitzenkandidaten construct collapse. Weber’s claim to be nominated as a matter of democratic legitimacy is an assertion without any constitutional justification. He claims to be entitled to the job because his EPP group has a couple more members than the others? What, exactly, is the legal basis for this claim? Where is the majority of MEPs who support him? Sorry, but no. This is all just a stunt, a reckless attempt to see how much he can get away with, a bluff, a confidence trick of the sort we’ve come to expect from the CSU lately.

Destructive Turn

Of course, the European Parliament remains entitled to not elect Ursula von der Leyen if it does not want to. If the majority of Members decided that this is the right way to communicate to the Council that they feel treated badly, they arguably possess the right to do so. It would be rather unwise, though. The EP would turn its hard-won constructive role in the Commission President election into a veto-player position. It would give its whole beautiful spitzenkandidaten process a destructive spin, a turn of events unlikely to increase voter satisfaction in these crisis-ridden times.

Then there is the assertion that the Council was somehow democratically obliged to nominate at least one of the spitzenkandidaten and nobody else. I can’t see any basis for that, either. Since when does the mere candidacy bestow a particular legitimacy on a person, above others and regardless of his or her electoral success? I must have missed that part in democracy 1.1.

Personally, I wouldn’t mind Timmermans as Commission President, for precisely the same reasons Orbán and Kaczyński abhor the idea. But for him, too, the rule is: you need a majority of MEPs. To use the election as an opportunity for obstruction in order to extort from the Commission a power that doesn’t belong to you is, at any rate, not the right way to democratize the EU. Voters aren’t stupid. They see through that. And they resent the attempt to fool them.

As far as voters are concerned, I find the assertion that the spitzenkandidaten reveal the will of the European voters highly doubtful, too. It’s true that, unlike in the past, this time there a remarkable degree of polarisation was palpable in the European election campaign, the feeling that a fundamental collective decision for Europe is at stake and not just, as it used to be, just some sort of domestic political opinion poll. But was that decision „Weber or Timmermans“?

The big topics of this election were climate and democracy, and the tension poles were not Weber and Timmermans, but Orbán/Salvini and Macron. And this became a massive problem for Weber, who had embraced his fellow EPP partner Orbán with a passion almost painful to behold for so many years and then, after he realized how the tension field was aligned, had to stake his campaign on a break-neck pivoting manoeuvre at the 11th hour to escape that fateful alliance with the autocrat of Budapest.

But alas, that was just another bluff and confidence trick. Since March, the Fidesz Party’s EPP membership has allegedly been „suspended“, but that did not prevent the EPP Group from proposing the Fidesz politician Lívia Járóka as vice president of Parliament which swiftly elected the lady with quite a few votes from RE and S&D. Meanwhile, Weber has the nerve to blame an „axis between Macron and Orbán“ for his failure to be nominated as Commission President.

All that happened while in Budapest Orbán’s government is dismembering the Hungarian Academy of Sciences. The Fidesz government in Frankenstate Hungary claims that it is only copying the successful German model with its large non-university research institutions. In an open letter to Orbán, the heads of the ten most important science organisations of Germany explain that this claim is factually false and that they expect, as a result of the Fidesz policy, academic science in Hungary to lose not just its independence but its quality and relevance.

La Capitana

Back to the spitzenkandidaten: That has been clearly the dominating topic on Verfassungsblog this week. ROMAN LEHNER appeals to protect the spitzenkandidaten concept from its most eager supporters. KENNETH ARMSTRONG goes even further and questions that there’d much to mourn for in the case of the spitzenkandidaten concept’s demise. And KLAUS BACHMANN notes how this concepts looks like from a Center and Eastern European perspective and why it is seen with such scepticism there.

Even more excitement than the EU personnel decisions caused the arrest of Carola Rackete, the SeaWatch capitana and fearless rescuer of refugees and taker of docking risks, indicted in Italy but then, to Salvini’s teeth-gnashing anger, set free by an independent judiciary. DANA SCHMALZ warns not to jeopardize the acceptance and authority of law by punishing what humanity dictates. CHRISTOPHER HEIN explains why Italian criminal and constitutional law probably won’t do that.

In the USA, the Supreme Court had issued its „gerrymandering“ decision the week before, declaring the partisan manipulation of electoral district maps to be outside the bounds of judicial control – the topic of my last editorial. THEODOR SHULMAN explains what the ruling entails for the court itself and its position in the US judicial system. ROMAN KAISER and FABIAN MICHL investigate whether gerrymandering can also become a problem in the German system of personalized proportional representation, and they present several examples where it already has.

The fact that the US Supreme Court with its right-wing majority could at some point reverse the liberalization of abortion law in the USA is now an acute concern. DAVIDE PARIS looks at how this could happen.

Just in time for the Women’s Football World Cup finals, we have launched an online symposium on FIFA and human rights together with the T.M.C. Asser Institute in The Hague. Following the introduction of ANTOINE DUVAL and DANIELA HEERDT, ELEANOR DRYWOOD is addressing the issue of children’s rights in the context of international football. BODO P. BÜTZLE and LISA SCHÖDDERT deal with the „eigen-constitutionalization“ of FIFA, and RAQUEL REGUEIRO DUBRA with human rights violations in the preparation of the Men’s Football World Cup 2022 in Qatar.

Elsewhere

LIZE R. GLAS tells how Russia defeated the Council of Europe.

LAURENT PECH and SÉBASTIEN PLATON draw the lesson from the ECJ ruling on „judicial reform“ in Poland that any „dialogue“ with governments like that should be accompanied by as many infringement proceedings as possible.

OLIVIER BEAUD observes a coup de grace for the constitutional principle of the independence of the universities in France.

ROBERT HAZELL and MEG RUSSELL investigate the constitutional issues raised by the election of the new Tory chairman and thus Prime Minister in Great Britain.

SIMON DRUGDA hopes for relief in the worsening crisis of the Slovak Constitutional Court, which now consists of only seven judges due to a blockade in parliament.

PRIYA PILLAI sees good reasons to accuse the EU of complicity in crimes of war and humanity against refugees in Libya.

That’s it for this week. All the best, and take care,

Max Steinbeis


SUGGESTED CITATION  Steinbeis, Maximilian: The Bursting of a Constitutional Bubble, VerfBlog, 2019/7/06, https://verfassungsblog.de/the-bursting-of-a-constitutional-bubble/, DOI: 10.17176/20190706-112616-0.

9 Comments

  1. Citizen So 7 Jul 2019 at 11:57 - Reply

    „That power is gone, though: Manfred Weber doesn’t have it, neither does Frans Timmermans, and certainly none of the other spitzenkandidaten. Together, EPP and S&D hold only 336 of 751 seats in parliament.“

    I am not sure, if there was really no majority achievable for any of the Spitzenkandidaten, but even if it was true, Mr Weber should have been nominated at first. A voting should have taken place in the EP. Why not? If Mr Weber wouldn’t have received enough votes in the EP, then Mr Timmermans should have been nominated. If he also wouldn’t have received enough votes, Mrs Vestager should have been nominated. I think, that those votings in the EP actually would have been necessary in order to provide evidence, that indeed no majority had been achievable.

  2. Citizen So 7 Jul 2019 at 14:57 - Reply

    „He claims to be entitled to the job because his EPP group has a couple more members than the others? What, exactly, is the legal basis for this claim? Where is the majority of MEPs who support him? Sorry, but no.“

    Mr Weber is a politician of the CSU (Bavarian party), which belongs to the EPP group. I assume, that Mrs von der Leyen was nominated, because she is a politician of a party, namely the CDU, which also belongs to the EPP group. It seems, that the European Council agreed to nominate an alternative politician of the EPP group (biggest group). According to an article, Mr Macron was against Mr Weber, because Mr Weber hasn’t been in a leading position in his political career.The Spitzenkandidat of the EPP was (so to speak) replaced after the election.: Mr Weber was replaced by Mrs von der Leyen. There are probably voters, especially in Germany, who might not have voted for an EPP group party (or wouldn’t have voted at all), if Mrs von der Leyen would have been the Spitzenkandidat of the EPP. Who knows how many? Please note, that Mrs von der Leyen is rather unpopular in Germany! The Spitzenkandidaten are the ones, who participated in tv debates! All Spitzenkandidaten were elected as MEPs, as far as I know, but Mrs von der Leyen isn’t a MEP. What would German voters say in the case, that a Kanzlerkandidat, would be replaced by another person (same party) some days after the election and so an alternative person would become Bundeskanzler? Since the Bundeskanzler isn’t elected by the German voters, but by the members of the Bundestag, the Bundestagswahl would be nonetheless valid, as far as I know. I speculate, that most voters would nonetheless feel fooled. Well, it could also happen, that the Bundeskanzler resigns and then gets replaced by someone else (same party), but a new Bundestagswahl should be held in such a case in my opinion. Once Willy Brandt (SPD) had resigned as Bundeskanzler and was replaced by Helmut Schmidt (SPD) without holding a new Bundestagswahl, as far as I know.

  3. Citizen Mo 8 Jul 2019 at 11:35 - Reply

    Mr Weber could have been nominated by the EU Council, eventhough Mr Macron was against him. BTW, Mr Juncker had been nominated, though Mr Cameron and Mr Orban had been against him. Was Mr Macron actually the only one (in the European Council), who was against Mr Weber? If the answer is currently unknown to the public, the public should be informed about the names of the other leaders, who were against Mr Weber. How many leaders were against Mr Weber? Only a qualified majority in the European Council is required for the nomination, as far as I know. If there was a qualified majority for Mr Weber, he must have been nominated!

  4. Maximilian Steinbeis Mo 8 Jul 2019 at 11:45 - Reply

    @Citizen: 1) Why would the Council be obliged to nominate someone who may or may not have a majority in the EP just to check if he/she has in fact a majority? What is the legal basis for that obligation? 2) vdL is not the Spitzenkandidat of the EPP but the nominee of the Council. There was, as you may remember, an elaborate albeit rather intransparent process to determine who gets to be spitzenkandidat of the EPP, and vdL wasn’t in any way part of it which is exactly the problem in the view of many now, isn’t it? 3) The fact that he wasn’t nominated counts as evidence that there wasn’t, in fact, a qualified majority for Weber. I don’t see why second-guessing the Council members‘ voting motives is in any way helpful.

  5. Citizen Mo 8 Jul 2019 at 17:57 - Reply

    I think, that this whole situation could have been avoided!:
    It was known, that the EPP group will likely win most seats. So the leaders of the European Council should have negotiated (before the nomination of Mr Weber as Spitzenkandidat), if there is a qualified majority/ consensus in favour of Mr Weber in European Council. If not, Mr Weber shouldn’t have become Spitzenkandidat of the EPP group. Or: After the nomination of Mr Weber, the European Council should have informed the public (prior to the election to the EP), that in the European Council no qualified majority/ consensus in favour of Mr Weber is achievable.

    • Maximilian Steinbeis Mo 8 Jul 2019 at 18:09 - Reply

      if that means you lay the blame at the feet of the EPP I won’t argue with you in the least.

      • Citizen Mo 8 Jul 2019 at 22:57 - Reply

        I blame the leaders of the European Council, especially those, who are politicians of the EPP group,e.g. Bundeskanzlerin Merkel, who was leader of the CDU party until 7 Dec 2018. Mr Weber had been elected as the Spitzenkandidat of the EPP group on 8 Nov 2018.

  6. Dr. Rainer Hable Di 9 Jul 2019 at 08:48 - Reply

    Excellent analysis. I beg to differ on this point only:

    „The whole spitzenkandidaten idea – personalising the European elections following the German example – has its constitutional basis in Art. 17 (7) para 1 TEU: While the Council nominates the candidate under consideration of the election result, this norm authorises the majority of MEPs to decide whether the candidate actually gets the nod or not. If you have the majority of MEPs behind you, the Council will have to nominate you. The majority of MEPs behind you gives you the constitutional power to impose your nomination on the Council.“

    This is not what the law says. Art 17 (7) para 1 TEU clearly states that the European Council nominates and the Parliament confirms. Two institutions are responsible and must cooperate accordingly. The Spitzenkandidaten idea intends to let Parliament decide on its own. This may be a political wish – but it disregards the current law. As a matter of fact, the spitzenkandidaten idea has no legal basis – and the Parliament certainly not the constitutional basis to impose its will on the European Council. Legally, the European Council did what it was supposed to do. It nominated Mrs von der Leyen from the EVP – thereby taking into account the outcome of the EP election as Art 17 (7) para 1 TEU requires. The Parliament now calls those who stick to the law undemocratic – and refers to itself, trying to bend the law in a power struggle, as democratic. Such approach neither helps European integration nor European democracy. After all the European Union is a community of law.

  7. Citizen Sa 27 Jul 2019 at 14:25 - Reply

    Following blog posts had been published on Verfassungsblog 5 years ago.:

    Why the Council is under a legal duty to propose Juncker as a Commission President
    Mattias Kumm
    6 Jun 2014

    Why the European Council is NOT under a legal duty to appoint Jean-Claude Juncker
    Kenneth Armstrong
    11 Jun 2014

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