He isn’t gone yet. He is still in office and can be relied upon to do whatever might help him stay there, perhaps even up to starting a war with Iran. The cork will have to stay in the champagne bottle for a little while longer, I suppose. But while it will be determined next week whether the eight-party anti-Bibi coalition in Israel and its super slim majority will actually hold and the new government be confirmed and sworn in – while that unfolds, we may start thinking about what that would mean: He is gone.
Binyamin Netanyahu, Israel’s on-and-off Prime Minister for a quarter of a century, authoritarian populist long before it was cool, co-founder of the whole genre and one of its living legends, before whose slithery irremovability, immune to all the vicissitudes of democracy, even Viktor Orbán had to bend his knee in humbleness and awe: suddenly gone! Voted out. The first true authoritarian populist leader, after Trump, to be peacefully, democratically removed from power. What does it mean?
The pessimistic reading: much less than you think. Naftali Bennett, his presumptive successor, leads a party of hard-nosed West Bank settlers which bears its wish to overtake Netanyahu’s Likud party on the right literally in its name. His coalition ranges from the far right to the far left and is held together by little other than the person it is directed against, namely Netanyahu. When he is gone: how long will it survive him?
The optimistic reading: much more than you think. The very span of the coalition that makes it seem so unstable and limited in its scope for action indicates how democratic politics could become possible again at all in the wake of an authoritarian populist government.
The opposite of authoritarian populism is not democracy, not liberty, perhaps not even necessarily the rule of law – its opposite is pluralism. The notion that there is and can and should be such a thing as political diversity, that different political values and interests and preferences coexist on an equal footing and as equally legitimate participants in the competition for political power and as equal-ranking negotiating partners in the exploration of common ground in finding majorities: that is what authoritarian populism is per se irreconcilable with. This is what authoritarian populism is fighting against in the first place, a fight that constitutes its very platform. For authoritarian populism, there is and must not be anything but Us versus Them and nothing else.
Virtual Conference – Rule of Law in the EU: Consensus and Discontents
10 – 11 June 2021 (two-day event)
This event will host 30 academics from 14 different countries who will explore the meaning, function and transformation of the Rule of Law within the European Union in the light of contemporary national and transnational challenges.
The full conference programme and registration details are available here.
Organisers: University of Portsmouth / European University Institute / King’s College London
During the last few years under Netanyahu, politics had literally become impossible. From the Gaza conflict to the pandemic, everything, even the most existential political problems of the country were dealt with only under the sign of Bibi’s personal hold on power. Democratic politics, the searching for and finding of common ground among the diverse to form a majority, no longer took place.
This new coalition appears like a counter-statement to all that – precisely because of its enormous span. It makes tangible that and how politics works as a process of negotiating majorities among the diverse. So diverse that it includes representatives of the Arab minority. This had been until very recently an absolute taboo of any Israeli government policy – and was, ironically, made possible by nothing other than Netanyahu’s populism, who had previously sacrificed this taboo to his personal preservation of power himself and thus cleared the way for his opponents to enter into this alliance in the first place, without having to fear the accusation of betraying Zionism from Likud. The United Arab List, which will support the new government, is conservative, religious and above all interested in improving the living conditions of Arab Israelis. The fact that it now has a share in power is in itself a downright miracle in a country that has just a few days ago looked into the abyss of an Arab-Jewish civil war.
Of course, Netanyahu’s defeat would not equal the defeat of authoritarian populism in Israel. The urge to subjugate the institutions and procedures of the constitution, and above all the independent judiciary, to one’s own political ends is widespread in the new coalition, too. For Netanyahu and others, its root is mainly their justified concern about being tried and convicted themselves. For others, it is ideological, especially for Ayelet Shaked, the number two in Naftali Bennett’s Yamina party and former Minister of Justice under Netanyahu. There is a flirtatious video in which she sprays herself with a perfume called „Fascism“ and announces her fight against „judicial activism“ and for „restricting the Supreme Court“ as the „next revolution“. She has secured a place on the nine-member judicial selection committee for herself. By 2024, there will be four vacancies in the Supreme Court to fill, each requiring a majority of 7 out of 9.
Limiting the power of the Supreme Court to review parliamentary laws for their constitutionality is in any case a heart issue of the Israeli right. If Shaked had her way, the Knesset should have the power to override judicial review with a simple majority. Former Netanyahu rival and Likud interior minister Gideon Saar, the designated Minister of Justice in the new coalition, has also advocated clipping the wings of the Supreme Court, though apparently in a less radical way than Shaked.
Examples such as Canada show that parliamentary override powers do not necessarily mean the end of the rule of law and the constitution. One would just have to be certain that it can’t be abused in an authoritarian-populist way. A piece of constitutional legislation on which Saar and Shaked have found common ground with the feminist Merav Michaeli, the socialist Nitzan Horowitz and the Arab Mansour Abbas seems to me not the worst way to guarantee this. It would fill one of the remaining gaps in Israel’s incomplete constitutional setup, since a Basic Law: Legislation does not yet exist. Another such gap is the fundamental right to equality and the rights of minorities. A corresponding Basic Law is also lacking for this so far. Can these gaps be closed? That’s a matter of negotiation, I suppose.
People are always quick to talk about Weimar when parties that are detrimental to democracy force unlikely and precarious coalitions in parliament. This suggests that such a coalition is bound to fail and, when it does, take the whole democracy down along with it. This kind of determinism was not true for Weimar and it is not true now. It is precisely when things get tight for democracy that such coalitions can keep alive the basic condition for majoritarian democracy in the first place, namely that it remains conceivable that one competes for power with others who are different but equal, with whom one can afford to negotiate and compromise and even, if need be, concede to be outvoted. It seems that this perhaps may now – inshallah! – become possible again in Israel. Who would have thought.
Many thanks to Alon Harel, Tamar Hostovsky Brandes and Yaniv Roznai for invaluable input.
The week on Verfassungsblog
The emergence of an anti-Bibi coalition is not the only thing to report and comment on from Israel this week in terms of new matters constitutional: On 23 May 2021, the Supreme Court, in its capacity as the High Court of Justice (HCJ), made an important decision on the question of whether and when, and for what purpose, parliament can amend the constitution. As is well known and mentioned above, the Israeli constitution consists of an – incomplete – set of parliamentary laws called Basic Laws. Can the parliamentary majority change these laws in order to gain short-term advantages in certain political situations? This is a question that concerns authoritarian populism at its core – and is answered by the majority of the High Court in its current composition in the negative. YANIV ROZNAI and MATAN GUTMAN analyse the decision.
In Austria, Chancellor Sebastian Kurz is resolutely taking the path towards authoritarian populism: parliamentary enquiry committee, constitutional court – whatever institutions dares to cross him is marked as political opponent. Now the public prosecutor’s office is investigating the Chancellor for making false statements. KONRAD LACHMAYER finds that the rule of law has so far prevailed but is deeply worried nevertheless.
In the UK, Dominic Cummings, once Boris Johnson’s chief adviser, testified in the House of Commons last week about the British government’s handling of the science on Covid-19. VESCO PASKALEV analyses the revelations fro